
Geoff O’Reilly
I'm an early baby boomer. Australian. I've watched the world change. I don't claim expertise in anything in particular. Yes, I have a couple of dusty old university degrees on the wall, seen big business from the inside, been a business entrepreneur for 30+ years, raised capital, employed 1000+ people in a dozen or more countries, dealt with lawyers and governments, travelled, watched TV and read a lot. I rode the IT boom/bubble that burst in 2000. Made a bit and lost half of it: so I understand risk and acquired some wisdom. Enjoy the blog.-
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Tag Archives: US economy
Watch out, it’s October …
No-one seems to understand why, but this time of year is often tumultuous. (Particularly in the financial world. 1929. 1987. 2008.) This year is looking pretty interesting too. So called “geo-political risk” has risen sharply. Gaza and Ukraine have settled down … Continue reading
Posted in debt, financial markets, tough times
Tagged delusion, economic growth, market value, US economy, Wall Street
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US GDP downer pushed the market up!
About an hour after my last post, the US Department of Commerce released it’s final revision of data for US GDP for the first quarter of 2014 … a staggering -2.9%. Bloggers, twitterers and columnists went into overdrive: “This is the … Continue reading
Posted in financial markets, risk
Tagged delusion, economic growth, Federal Reserve, market value, US economy, Wall Street
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Phantom recovery
Highlights from yesterday’s US Government press release on jobs: unemployment down in one month from 7% to 6.7%; 74,000 new jobs created in December. Sounds OK doesn’t it? The economy must be recovering … (Wall Street rose a bit on … Continue reading
Posted in employment, tough times
Tagged BLS, delusion, economic growth, employment, Federal Reserve, jobs, unemployment, US economy, Wall Street
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Bubbles anywhere?
Just about every relevant source I read is now writing about bubbles. Are we, or aren’t we, inflating bubbles? The Economist is typical: “TALK of bubbles is in the air again. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has hit an all-time … Continue reading
Posted in financial markets
Tagged bubbles, delusion, Federal Reserve, market value, US economy, Wall Street
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US jobs – spinning the data
There was quite some buoyancy in the commentary on the US economy last week. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released it’s monthly jobs data. Because the Federal Reserve has said it is more focused on employment than inflation, … Continue reading
Posted in employment
Tagged BLS, economic growth, employment, Federal Reserve, group think, jobs, US economy
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Is the US economy growing?
In the last several days we have seen these economic news items out of the US. This from the Sydney Morning Herald on the 8th: The Australian dollar is lower after very strong US economic growth figures … [my emphasis] … Continue reading